Peter Grandich: Excessive Borrowing and Money Creation is Delaying the Inescapable Depression

Tom welcomes returning guest Peter Grandich to the show for a riveting conversation. Peter underscores his belief that the much-anticipated recession hasn’t yet arrived due to rampant money creation and continuous borrowing. He challenges the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ data, believing its reported market conditions to be milder than reality. He spotlights the increasing number of Americans relying on food banks, living paycheck to paycheck, and articulates his belief that an impending recession is not a matter of “if,” but “when.”

Grandich also points to a shift in the past 40 years from a market largely dominated by retail investors to one controlled by computer algorithms. In fact, today more than half of all stock market investments are in passive funds. This new mode of operation could result in rapid market changes when investment perspectives shift, leaving more investors vulnerable to losses.

Importantly, the spiraling US debt is a concern. The Congressional Budget Office recently predicted a debt level of $50 trillion within seven years. This escalating debt could lead to economic collapse, as a large part of the country’s revenue would be obligated to cover interest repayments. Grandich further criticizes the Biden administration’s decision to expunge student loan debts as it could set a dangerous precedent for other financial liabilities.

Additionally, Grandich observes the growing global outcry for dominance at the expense of the US, spurred by countries like Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. This could lead to diminished demand for US stocks and a preference for non-US stocks. Amid these shifts, Peter emphasizes the importance of safeguarding capital. He acknowledges the potential for capital growth in areas such as the natural resources sector.

Despite previous success with uranium, Peter is now directing his focus towards other natural resources such as gold, copper, and lithium. He recommends their potential for capital appreciation, citing ongoing demand and treating copper optimistically due to its emerging role in the green sector. While remaining cautious about investing, given the current economic, social, and political landscapes, Peter remains hopeful about the future growth in the natural resources sector.

Lastly, Grandich provides intriguing insights on the position of uranium in the current market, explaining that widespread energy challenges and increasing nuclear power necessity maintain its stability; however, he maintains that other metals such as gold and copper now offer better investment opportunities. Rapid price surges have led to difficulty for producers like Cameco, who are grappling with meeting contract obligations due to limited supply. This could potentially slow uranium price elevation. While Grandich acknowledges the potential for uranium’s market to rise, he sees greater gains and less risk in junior resource markets.

Talking Points From This Episode

  • Rampant money creation is temporarily delay a recession, which is inevitable.
  • Peter is concerned about the number of algorithim trading system which would catalyze sudden market shifts.
  • Uranium’s performance is good but gold, copper, and lithium currently offer more potential for growth.

Time Stamp References:
0:00 – Introduction
0:33 – Recession Outlook
4:23 – Five Critical Issues
8:08 – Fed & Inflation
13:16 – Debt, Deficits, & Taxes
17:33 – Consequences
19:30 – Debt & Global Bond Mkts.
21:44 – BRICS Progression
26:48 – U.S. Equity Demand
29:02 – Preserving Wealth
31:20 – Focus On Resources
34:34 – Uranium & Profits
36:57 – Jurisdictional Risk
38:20 – Gold Market Thoughts
40:28 – Why Undervalued Miners
44:03 – Uranium Market
50:08 – Wrap Up

Guest Links:
Website: https://petergrandich.com
Twitter: https://twitter.com/PeterGrandich

Peter Grandich entered Wall Street in the mid-1980s with neither formal education nor training. Within three years, he was appointed Head of Investment Strategy for a leading New York Stock Exchange member firm. He would hold positions as Chief Market Strategist, Portfolio Manager for four hedge funds, and a mutual fund that bore his name. His abilities have resulted in hundreds of media interviews, including Good Morning America, Fox News, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, Financial Post, Globe and Mail, US News & World Report, New York Times, Business Week, MarketWatch, Business News Network and dozens more. In addition, he has spoken at investment conferences worldwide, edited numerous investment newsletters, and was one of the more sought-after financial commentators.

Grandich has been a member of the National Association of Christian Financial Consultants, The New York Society of Security Analysts, The Society of Quantitative Analysts, and The Markets Technician Association. He is an active supporter of Athletes in Action, the Fellowship of Christian Athletes, Good News International Ministries, and Catholic Athletes For Christ. Through Athletes in Action, Grandich assisted with Bible study and chapel services for the New York Giants and New York Yankees from 2002 to 2016.

His autobiography, Confessions of a Wall Street Whiz Kid, was first published in 2011 and is now on its fourth printing.

Peter Grandich resides in New Jersey with his wife, Mary, and has one daughter, Tara. In 2015, he turned a three-decade dream into a reality by opening a storefront office in the “Norman Rockwell style” Jersey Shore town of Spring Lake. He then extended that vision by opening a satellite office in Millstone Township in 2019.